IBM Scenario Planning Advisor: A Neuro-Symbolic ERM Solution

Scenario Planning is a commonly used Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) technique to help decision makers with longterm plans by considering multiple alternative futures. It typically manual, highly labor intensive process involving dozens of experts and hundreds thousands person-hours. We previously introduced Advisor prototype (Sohrabi et al. 2018a,b) that focuses on generating scenarios quickly based expert-developed models. present the evolution into full-scale, cloud deployed ERM solution that: (i) can automatically (through NLP) create models from authoritative documents such as books, reports articles, what took person-hours now be achieved in minutes hours; (ii) gather news other feeds relevant forces risk group them storylines without any user input; (iii) generate at scale, starting interest seconds; (iv) provides interactive visualizations scenario force model graphs, including full editor browser. The SPA under non-commercial use license https://spa-service.draco.res.ibm.com includes guide new users get started. A video demonstration available https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IaX3d37NUl8.